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Liver, Pancreas and Biliary Tract| Volume 54, ISSUE 6, P784-790, June 2022

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Model for end-stage liver disease underestimates mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure waiting for liver transplantation

  • Author Footnotes
    1 Contributed equally to this work as first author.
    Johannes Chang
    Footnotes
    1 Contributed equally to this work as first author.
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 Contributed equally to this work as first author.
    Alexandra Matheja
    Footnotes
    1 Contributed equally to this work as first author.
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
    Search for articles by this author
  • Simon Krzycki
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Philipp Lutz
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Nina Böhling
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Kathleen Glückert
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Tobias J. Weismüller
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Cornelius van Beekum
    Affiliations
    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Department of Visceral Surgery, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Steffen Manekeller
    Affiliations
    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Department of Visceral Surgery, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Christian Jansen
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Jörg C. Kalff
    Affiliations
    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Department of Visceral Surgery, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Christian P. Strassburg
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
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  • Michael Praktiknjo
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author at: Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, Venusberg-Campus 1, 53127 Bonn, Germany.
    Affiliations
    Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany

    Center for Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension Bonn (CCB), University Hospital Bonn, 53127 Bonn, Germany
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 Contributed equally to this work as first author.
Published:January 04, 2022DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dld.2021.12.011

      Abstract

      Background and Aims

      Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) show excess mortality in MELD-Na based organ allocation for liver transplantation (LT). Whether MELD-based allocation in the Eurotransplant region similarly underprioritizes ACLF patients is unknown.

      Methods

      428 patients listed for LT from 01/2010 to 02/2021 at a tertiary center in Germany were screened and 209 patients included as derivation (n = 123) and validation cohort (n = 86). Competing risk analysis for waitlist mortality and LT as competing events was performed.

      Results

      90-day waitlist mortality for patients with MELD < and ≥ 25 at baseline was 9% vs. 33%, respectively (p = 0.009). Competing risk analysis shows significantly higher 90-day waitlist mortality in patients listed with ACLF compared to those without ACLF (p = 0.021) in the low MELD stratum. Probability of LT was similar between the two groups (p = 0.91). In the high MELD group, 90-day waitlist mortality and rates of LT were not significantly different between patients with and without ACLF (31% vs. 20%, p = 0.55 and 59% vs. 60%, p = 0.72, respectively). Post-transplant survival was similar between patients with and without ACLF. This result was confirmed in the validation cohort.

      Conclusion

      MELD-based organ allocation in the Eurotransplant region underestimates waitlist mortality in patients with ACLF in lower MELD ranges.

      Keywords

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