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Liver, Pancreas and Biliary Tract| Volume 53, ISSUE 1, P79-85, January 2021

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Liver fibrosis marker is an independent predictor of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the general population

  • Yochai Schonmann
    Affiliations
    Siaal Research Center for Family Medicine and Primary Care, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel

    Department of Quality Measurements and Research, Clalit Health Services, Tel Aviv, Israel
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  • Author Footnotes
    † Equal first contribution
    Hanny Yeshua
    Footnotes
    † Equal first contribution
    Affiliations
    Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv District, Israel

    Department of Family Medicine, Rabin Medical Center, Petah Tikva, Israel

    Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
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  • Itay Bentov
    Affiliations
    Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
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  • Shira Zelber-Sagi
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author.
    Affiliations
    School of Public Health, University of Haifa, Haifa 3498838, Israel

    Department of Gastroenterology, Tel-Aviv Medical Center, Tel-Aviv 6423906, Israel
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  • Author Footnotes
    † Equal first contribution
Published:November 01, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dld.2020.10.014

      Abstract

      Background

      A growing body of evidence suggests that Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and liver fibrosis are associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the independent role of liver fibrosis markers in the prediction of CVD in the general population is seldom tested.

      Aims

      To assess whether a marker of liver fibrosis predicts the first occurrence of a CVD event in a large sample of community-based general population.

      Methods

      Historical cohort using data from a large health provider that operates a centralized computerized medical record. The level of liver fibrosis was measured by the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, and the association with CVD was adjusted for the European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation calculator (SCORE).

      Results

      The study included 8,511 individuals, 3,292 with inconclusive fibrosis and 195 with advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 ≥ 2.67). People with advanced fibrosis had higher risk for CVD, after adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, the SCORE, use of statins and aspirin (HR [95%CI], 1.63 [1.29–2.06]). The association persisted in both women and men. Using age-specific cut-offs, there was a dose-response association between inconclusive and advanced fibrosis and CVD (HR [95%CI], 1.15 [1.01–1.31]) and HR [95%CI], 1.60 [1.27–2.01], respectively, P for trend<0.001).

      Conclusions

      A simple fibrosis score is independently associated with CVD, suggesting that fibrosis markers should be considered in primary-care risk assessment.

      Keywords

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      Linked Article

      • Assessment of hepatic fibrosis in MAFLD: A new player in the evaluation of residual cardiovascular risk?
        Digestive and Liver DiseaseVol. 53Issue 3
        • Preview
          We read with great interest the recently published paper by Shonmann et al. [1] reporting on an independent positive association between liver fibrosis and ten-year incidence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in a large sample of community-based general population in Israel. Fibrosis was non-invasively assessed by the FIB-4 score, a simple and well validated score used to rule out (cut-off value ≤1.3) or rule in (cut-off ≥2.67) significant liver fibrosis (F2-F3) [2,3]. These results are of considerable interest since they suggest that hepatic fibrosis could therefore be interpreted as an additional non-lipid marker of residual cardiovascular risk, defined as the risk that remains after the optimal multifactorial treatment of all the coexisting risk factors in the individual.
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