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Liver, Pancreas and Biliary Tract| Volume 49, ISSUE 11, P1249-1256, November 2017

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Incidence of and risk factors for pancreatic cancer in chronic pancreatitis: A cohort of 1656 patients

  • Author Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Lu Hao
    Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Xiang-Peng Zeng
    Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Lei Xin
    Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Dan Wang
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Jun Pan
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Ya-Wei Bi
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Jun-Tao Ji
    Affiliations
    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Ting-Ting Du
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Jin-Huan Lin
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Di Zhang
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Bo Ye
    Affiliations
    Department of surgery, Jinling Hospital, Nanjing, China
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  • Wen-Bin Zou
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Hui Chen
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Ting Xie
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
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  • Bai-Rong Li
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Air Force General Hospital, Beijing, China
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  • Zhao-Hong Zheng
    Affiliations
    Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jiangdu Hospital, Yangzhou, China
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  • Teng Wang
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Hong-Lei Guo
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Zhuan Liao
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Zhao-Shen Li
    Correspondence
    Corresponding authors at: Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai 200433, China. Fax: +86 21 55621735.
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
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  • Liang-Hao Hu
    Correspondence
    Corresponding authors at: Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai 200433, China. Fax: +86 21 55621735.
    Affiliations
    Department of Gastroenterology, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China

    Digestive Endoscopy Center, Changhai Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 The authors contributed equally to this study.

      Abstract

      Background

      Risk of pancreatic cancer may increase in chronic pancreatitis patients.

      Aims

      This study aimed to identify the incidence of and risk factors for pancreatic cancer in chronic pancreatitis patients.

      Methods

      Chronic pancreatitis patients admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013 were enrolled. Cumulative rates of pancreatic cancer and survival rates were calculated. The standardized incidence ratio was calculated based on the pancreatic cancer incidence in general population of China. Risk factors for pancreatic cancer were identified.

      Results

      In a total of 1656 patients, the median follow-up duration was 8.0 years. Pancreatic cancer was detected in 21 patients (1.3%). The expected number of cases of pancreatic cancer was 1.039, yielding a standardized incidence ratio of 20.22. The standardized incidence ratios for patients with a >60 pack-year smoking history were much higher (145.82). Two risk factors for pancreatic cancer were identified: age at the onset of chronic pancreatitis (hazard ratio, 1.05) and a >60 pack-year smoking history (hazard ratio, 11.83).

      Conclusion

      The risk of pancreatic cancer is markedly increased in chronic pancreatitis patients compared with the general population, especially in patients with an older age at onset and a >60 pack-year smoking history. The high-risk populations were suggested to be followed up closely.

      Keywords

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