Abstract
Background
The diagnostic performance of biochemical scores and artificial neural network models
for portal hypertension and cirrhosis is not well established.
Aims
To assess diagnostic accuracy of six serum scores, artificial neural networks and
liver stiffness measured by transient elastography, for diagnosing cirrhosis, clinically
significant portal hypertension and oesophageal varices.
Methods
202 consecutive compensated patients requiring liver biopsy and hepatic venous pressure
gradient measurement were included. Several serum tests (alone and combined into scores)
and liver stiffness were measured. Artificial neural networks containing or not liver
stiffness as input variable were also created.
Results
The best non-invasive method for diagnosing cirrhosis, portal hypertension and oesophageal
varices was liver stiffness (C-statistics = 0.93, 0.94, and 0.90, respectively). Among serum tests/scores the best for diagnosing
cirrhosis and portal hypertension and oesophageal varices were, respectively, Fibrosis-4,
and Lok score. Artificial neural networks including liver stiffness had high diagnostic
performance for cirrhosis, portal hypertension and oesophageal varices (accuracy > 80%), but were not statistically superior to liver stiffness alone.
Conclusions
Liver stiffness was the best non-invasive method to assess the presence of cirrhosis,
portal hypertension and oesophageal varices. The use of artificial neural networks
integrating different non-invasive tests did not increase the diagnostic accuracy
of liver stiffness alone.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: February 26, 2015
Accepted:
February 2,
2015
Received:
September 25,
2014
Identification
Copyright
© 2015 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.